Serie C Jor. 9

Análisis Novara vs Pavia

Novara Pavia
63 ELO 49
-1.8% Tilt 0.5%
2358º Ranking ELO general 4729º
81º Ranking ELO país 164º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
66.2%
Novara
20.1%
Empate
13.7%
Pavia

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Novara
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Pavia
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Novara
Pavia
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Novara
Novara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 oct. 2003
SPE
Spezia
3 - 0
Novara
NOV
38%
27%
36%
64 61 3 0
12 oct. 2003
NOV
Novara
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
60%
22%
18%
64 60 4 0
05 oct. 2003
SAS
Sassari Torres
1 - 1
Novara
NOV
17%
23%
60%
64 49 15 0
28 sep. 2003
NOV
Novara
3 - 1
Rimini
RIM
66%
20%
14%
63 56 7 +1
21 sep. 2003
VAR
Varese
3 - 2
Novara
NOV
23%
25%
52%
64 53 11 -1

Partidos

Pavia
Pavia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 oct. 2003
PAV
Pavia
2 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
32%
27%
41%
48 60 12 0
12 oct. 2003
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Pavia
PAV
67%
20%
13%
48 63 15 0
05 oct. 2003
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Pavia
PAV
60%
23%
17%
48 61 13 0
28 sep. 2003
PAV
Pavia
1 - 2
Sassari Torres
SAS
52%
24%
24%
48 49 1 0
21 sep. 2003
ACP
Prato
1 - 1
Pavia
PAV
57%
23%
20%
48 53 5 0