Análisis Novara vs Cittadella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
NOV
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
PES
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CTT
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2010 |
CTT
0 - 1
ATL
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
CTT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |