Análisis Novara vs Brescia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
32%
Empate
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
30.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 0
MOD
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOV
59%
26%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 1
LIV
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1971 |
BRE
4 - 1
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1971 |
ATL
2 - 2
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1971 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
25%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1971 |
PIS
1 - 1
BRE
38%
32%
31%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |