Análisis Novara vs Frosinone
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 3
NOV
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
SIE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2011 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2011 |
EMP
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2011 |
FRO
4 - 0
VIC
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 1
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2011 |
PES
1 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
PAD
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
CRO
4 - 1
FRO
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |