Análisis Novara vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
74%
15%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACL
41%
22%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 1939 |
POP
0 - 1
NOV
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 abr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |