Análisis Novara vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2011 |
PES
1 - 2
NOV
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRO
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 3
NOV
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
SIE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2011 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2011 |
MOD
3 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |