Análisis Novara vs Perugia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 4
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
USA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 2
PRG
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
PER
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
RAV
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCV
70%
21%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |