Tercera División G10 Jor. 13

Análisis Novelda CF vs CD Lorca

Novelda CF CD Lorca
40 ELO 47
11% Tilt 7%
12619º Ranking ELO general 34889º
1108º Ranking ELO país 9797º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
56.9%
Novelda CF
19.2%
Empate
23.8%
CD Lorca

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Novelda CF
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Lorca
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Novelda CF
CD Lorca
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 nov. 1954
ELD
Eldense
2 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
79%
12%
9%
38 47 9 0
21 nov. 1954
NOV
Novelda CF
5 - 2
Aspense
ASP
76%
13%
11%
37 36 1 +1
14 nov. 1954
CFC
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
5 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
82%
11%
8%
38 45 7 -1
07 nov. 1954
HEL
Hellin Deportivo
8 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
87%
8%
5%
39 52 13 -1
31 oct. 1954
NOV
Novelda CF
10 - 0
Orihuela CF
ORI
56%
20%
24%
35 43 8 +4

Partidos

CD Lorca
CD Lorca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 nov. 1954
LOR
CD Lorca
6 - 0
Elche
ELC
51%
22%
27%
44 55 11 0
21 nov. 1954
YEC
Yeclano Deportivo
7 - 1
CD Lorca
LOR
68%
17%
16%
46 45 1 -2
14 nov. 1954
LOR
CD Lorca
3 - 1
Real Murcia Imperial
IMP
63%
18%
19%
45 47 2 +1
07 nov. 1954
ELD
Eldense
3 - 1
CD Lorca
LOR
65%
18%
17%
46 46 0 -1
31 oct. 1954
LOR
CD Lorca
2 - 0
Aspense
ASP
80%
11%
8%
45 35 10 +1