Análisis Novelda CF vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
31.8%
Empate
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
35.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
14.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1996 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 2
ELC
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1996 |
NOV
1 - 0
VEL
43%
28%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 1996 |
CCF
2 - 0
NOV
74%
18%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
POL
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1996 |
SEV
2 - 0
MEL
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1996 |
MAL
4 - 0
MEL
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 2
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |