Análisis Novelda CF vs Villarreal C
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+35%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 0
NOV
48%
28%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
GAN
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
NOV
35%
29%
37%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
PUÇ
2 - 1
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 2
OND
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRE
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |