Análisis Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
VER
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 ago. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 jul. 2006 |
CRI
6 - 0
NOV
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 0
GLO
20%
22%
57%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |