Primera Chile - Apertura Jor. 11

Análisis Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción

Ñublense Univ. Concepción
76 ELO 77
8.5% Tilt 15.2%
1085º Ranking ELO general 2161º
10º Ranking ELO país 27º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
48.1%
Ñublense
25.4%
Empate
26.6%
Univ. Concepción

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
Ñublense
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
Univ. Concepción
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Ñublense
-5%
+5%
Univ. Concepción

Progresión del ELO

Ñublense
Univ. Concepción
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Ñublense
Ñublense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 oct. 2014
DEP
Deportes Temuco
2 - 0
Ñublense
NUB
11%
18%
72%
76 52 24 0
05 oct. 2014
ANT
Antofagasta
2 - 0
Ñublense
NUB
40%
26%
34%
76 77 1 0
28 sep. 2014
COL
Colo-Colo
0 - 0
Ñublense
NUB
49%
23%
28%
76 77 1 0
14 sep. 2014
NUB
Ñublense
0 - 1
Barnechea
BAR
76%
16%
8%
76 59 17 0
10 sep. 2014
IBE
CDSC Iberia
2 - 4
Ñublense
NUB
15%
19%
65%
76 56 20 0

Partidos

Univ. Concepción
Univ. Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 oct. 2014
UCO
Univ. Concepción
4 - 2
Lota Schwager
LOT
79%
15%
6%
77 51 26 0
08 oct. 2014
LOT
Lota Schwager
0 - 0
Univ. Concepción
UCO
10%
21%
69%
77 51 26 0
05 oct. 2014
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 1
Colo-Colo
COL
40%
26%
34%
77 77 0 0
27 sep. 2014
UCO
Univ. Concepción
1 - 3
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
42%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
23 sep. 2014
UCO
Univ. Concepción
3 - 0
Colo-Colo
COL
34%
24%
43%
77 78 1 0