Análisis Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
JAN
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2005 |
RAF
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 1
TAL
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 1
CHI
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
GOD
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
DYJ
1 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
SMA
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2005 |
SAR
3 - 0
DEF
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 2
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |