Análisis Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 1
CHI
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
TAL
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
CCO
80%
15%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
CHI
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |