Análisis Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2009 |
SUA
0 - 0
CHI
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 2
FLA
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 0
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 mar. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
ESP
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 feb. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
ARM
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
FLA
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |