Primera Nacional Playoffs Ascenso Semifinal
Global 2-2
Análisis Nueva Chicago vs San Martín San Juan
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
CHI
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
RAC
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRO
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2024 |
TEM
0 - 0
CHI
43%
29%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
ALB
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
SMA
35%
30%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 1
GYT
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 3
SMA
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |