Análisis Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2010 |
IZT
1 - 2
NUE
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2010 |
COA
2 - 1
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
SPD
4 - 0
NUE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 0
ESC
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
IZT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 sep. 2010 |
LAG
3 - 1
AUR
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 sep. 2010 |
COA
0 - 2
AUR
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPD
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |