Análisis Numancia vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2016 |
VAD
2 - 2
NUM
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
GIR
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 0
NUM
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATH
65%
23%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 3
CCF
41%
30%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAD
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
MLL
1 - 0
ALC
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |