Análisis Numancia vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2016 |
GET
0 - 0
NUM
61%
24%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2016 |
NUM
0 - 1
LEV
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2016 |
NUM
3 - 1
TUD
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 ago. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
LEG
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
HUE
45%
29%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2016 |
FUE
1 - 2
ALC
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
LEG
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |