Análisis Numancia vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
FCB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 1
NUM
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 2
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
LEG
0 - 0
NUM
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
BET
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALA
47%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |