Análisis Numancia vs Almería
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
DEP
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2005 |
ATH
0 - 2
NUM
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
NUM
2 - 2
OSA
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
VCF
19%
27%
53%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jun. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
MUR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2005 |
REC
1 - 1
ALM
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
SPO
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 may. 2005 |
GIM
1 - 2
ALM
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 may. 2005 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALA
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |