Análisis Numancia vs Barakaldo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1998 |
FCB
0 - 4
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 0
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUM
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1998 |
OSA
0 - 1
NUM
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDB
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1998 |
BEA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 0
CLH
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUM
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 1998 |
CLU
0 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 0
BIN
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |