Análisis Numancia vs Girona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NUM
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
GIM
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 1
VAD
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
DEP
5 - 1
GIR
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 4
ELC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 jun. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 1
CCF
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |