Análisis Numancia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
CIU
0 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2006 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
LLE
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2006 |
CIU
1 - 0
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
LLE
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 feb. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
HER
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
RMC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |