Análisis Numancia vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2006 |
EIB
1 - 2
NUM
38%
30%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
VAD
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 2
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
LOR
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
RMC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOR
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
REC
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |