Análisis Numancia vs Real Valladolid
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2011 |
BET
4 - 1
NUM
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 2
REC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
NUM
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
NUM
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
FCB
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAD
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
XER
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 2
VAD
38%
28%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 2
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |