Análisis Olimpia vs 12 de Octubre
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2006 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 2
LQE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
12O
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2006 |
2DE
1 - 0
12O
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2006 |
12O
4 - 2
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
12O
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |