Análisis Olimpia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.48
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1984 |
EST
0 - 1
OLI
65%
20%
14%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1984 |
IND
3 - 2
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1984 |
LQE
1 - 2
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1984 |
OLI
2 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1984 |
OLI
1 - 0
IND
40%
28%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 1983 |
NAC
4 - 2
NAC
95%
4%
2%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1983 |
MWA
3 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |