Análisis Olimpia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
12O
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2005 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 feb. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |