Análisis Olimpia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2006 |
OLI
4 - 2
LQE
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 may. 2006 |
OLI
6 - 1
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 3
2DE
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2006 |
12O
1 - 4
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2006 |
FER
2 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |