Análisis Olimpia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2009 |
RÑU
3 - 5
OLI
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 3
OLI
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 3
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 may. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |