Análisis Olimpia vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 3
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2020 |
AME
2 - 4
OLI
10%
18%
72%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 1
OLI
29%
25%
47%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2020 |
OLI
7 - 0
LQE
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
RPA
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |