Análisis Olimpico Castilla vs Rayo Loranca

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%

21.3%

Empate

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.5%

2-2

7%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.3%

30.6%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Olimpico Castilla

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 ene. 2017	CDM 4 - 0 OLI 77% 13% 10%	9	12	3	0
08 ene. 2017	LEO 0 - 4 OLI 45% 22% 33%	7	7	0	+2
04 dic. 2016	RAL 1 - 0 OLI 48% 21% 32%	9	7	2	-2
20 nov. 2016	GRB 1 - 0 OLI 53% 21% 27%	10	10	0	-1
06 nov. 2016	PCO 2 - 1 OLI 50% 21% 29%	11	11	0	-1

Partidos

Rayo Loranca

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
29 ene. 2017	UNI 3 - 2 RAY 64% 18% 18%	7	10	3
22 ene. 2017	RAY 0 - 6 BRO 15% 17% 68%	7	14	7
15 ene. 2017	CDA 4 - 2 RAY 67% 17% 17%	7	10	3
08 ene. 2017	RAY 0 - 2 RSE 15% 17% 68%	7	13	6
18 dic. 2016	CEB 3 - 1 RAY 58% 20% 23%	7	9	2