Análisis Gibraleón vs Atlético Cruceño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2009 |
HIN
1 - 4
OCF
27%
26%
47%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
OCF
3 - 1
CDP
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
ALM
3 - 0
OCF
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
OCF
2 - 2
POZ
55%
23%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
OCF
1 - 3
ATL
68%
21%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
JUA
2 - 1
CRU
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
SRL
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
CRU
21%
24%
56%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
CAM
32%
26%
42%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |