Análisis Once Lobos vs Alianza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2004 |
ONC
0 - 0
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
ONC
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 2
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 2
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
FAS
1 - 2
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2004 |
FIR
2 - 3
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |