Análisis Operário MS vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1981 |
OPE
2 - 1
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1981 |
OPE
0 - 1
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 3
OPE
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1981 |
OPE
1 - 0
GAL
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1981 |
DES
0 - 2
OPE
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 1980 |
COR
3 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1980 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1980 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1980 |
NAU
1 - 2
COR
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 1980 |
VAS
2 - 2
NAU
69%
20%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |