Análisis Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-43%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2004 |
IBE
4 - 0
OPE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2004 |
OPE
2 - 2
SAC
74%
15%
10%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
RPO
4 - 3
OPE
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
BOL
6 - 1
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2004 |
AUR
3 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
IBE
1 - 1
AUR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
RPO
2 - 3
AUR
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |