Análisis Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-43%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2007 |
OPE
1 - 1
DES
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
BLO
2 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2007 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 1
OPE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2007 |
OPE
2 - 2
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2007 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
LAP
2 - 2
AUR
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2007 |
AUR
0 - 1
RPO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
DES
1 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |