Análisis CD Ourense vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 1981 |
LEM
1 - 0
CDO
28%
31%
41%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1981 |
CDO
2 - 0
VIS
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1981 |
CLU
0 - 0
CDO
32%
29%
39%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1981 |
CDO
1 - 0
ARO
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 1981 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDO
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1981 |
POR
2 - 2
CHO
71%
19%
11%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1981 |
CHO
0 - 1
ALO
37%
28%
35%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 2
CHO
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1981 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
60%
23%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |