Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Análisis CD Ourense vs Gran Peña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
5.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1978 |
RUN
3 - 1
CDO
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
CDO
4 - 1
ENS
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 1978 |
CFP
1 - 0
CDO
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
CDO
1 - 1
ATB
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1978 |
UPL
2 - 2
CDO
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1978 |
CAY
4 - 1
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1978 |
LEN
0 - 2
GRA
38%
30%
33%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
GRA
4 - 1
GIM
70%
20%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1978 |
PON
3 - 3
GRA
57%
26%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |