Copa Federación Semifinal
Global 1-3
Análisis CD Ourense vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
CER
3 - 2
CDO
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
CDO
4 - 0
NAR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
ORD
0 - 1
CDO
21%
27%
52%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2009 |
CDO
0 - 0
BUR
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
CDO
4 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
RJA
2 - 0
UBC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GUA
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 3
RJA
23%
29%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 4
RJA
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |