Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Análisis CD Ourense vs Tudelano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2009 |
CDO
3 - 0
ALO
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CDO
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CDO
1 - 3
COX
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 1
CDO
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
CDO
2 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2009 |
OBE
0 - 1
TUD
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
TUD
0 - 3
IZA
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
LOU
1 - 1
TUD
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 2009 |
TUD
5 - 0
MEN
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 4
TUD
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |