3. Liga Jor. 24

Análisis Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue

Paderborn Erzgebirge Aue
66 ELO 61
-3.8% Tilt 3.4%
193º Ranking ELO general 1275º
22º Ranking ELO país 61º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
52.6%
Paderborn
24.1%
Empate
23.3%
Erzgebirge Aue

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Paderborn
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Erzgebirge Aue
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paderborn
+1%
-3%
Erzgebirge Aue

Progresión del ELO

Paderborn
Erzgebirge Aue
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 feb. 2009
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Sandhausen
SVS
61%
22%
17%
66 56 10 0
08 feb. 2009
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
31%
27%
42%
67 60 7 -1
20 dic. 2008
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
55%
25%
21%
67 63 4 0
13 dic. 2008
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
71%
19%
10%
66 52 14 +1
06 dic. 2008
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
2 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
24%
26%
50%
68 56 12 -2

Partidos

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 ene. 2009
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
29%
26%
45%
61 55 6 0
21 dic. 2008
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
39%
26%
35%
62 59 3 -1
06 dic. 2008
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
55%
25%
21%
61 56 5 +1
02 dic. 2008
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
38%
27%
35%
60 63 3 +1
29 nov. 2008
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
61 63 2 -1