Análisis Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2018 |
STP
2 - 1
PAD
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2018 |
PAD
4 - 4
MAG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 5
PAD
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
BOC
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 ago. 2018 |
SGF
2 - 2
PAD
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 2
SVS
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 2
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 1
STP
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 2018 |
WOL
3 - 1
ERZ
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2018 |
ING
3 - 2
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |