Regionalliga Norte Jor. 12

Análisis Paderborn vs Hamburger SV II

Paderborn  Hamburger SV II
58 ELO 50
14.7% Tilt -0.6%
193º Ranking ELO general 2419º
22º Ranking ELO país 107º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.5%
Paderborn
19.2%
Empate
15.3%
Hamburger SV II

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Paderborn
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
 Hamburger SV II
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paderborn
+3%
-12%
 Hamburger SV II

Progresión del ELO

Paderborn
 Hamburger SV II
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 oct. 2003
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
0 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
50%
25%
25%
57 56 1 0
04 oct. 2003
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
56%
23%
21%
57 59 2 0
27 sep. 2003
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
62%
21%
16%
58 66 8 -1
20 sep. 2003
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 2
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
39%
23%
38%
57 62 5 +1
13 sep. 2003
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
66%
20%
14%
58 68 10 -1

Partidos

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2003
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
36%
27%
38%
48 56 8 0
04 oct. 2003
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
4 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
71%
18%
11%
49 64 15 -1
27 sep. 2003
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
37%
25%
38%
49 52 3 0
20 sep. 2003
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 1
Preußen Münster
PRE
41%
26%
33%
49 53 4 0
13 sep. 2003
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
2 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
57%
22%
21%
50 53 3 -1