Análisis Paderborn vs Mainz 05
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2007 |
STU
3 - 2
PAD
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 2
CZJ
43%
25%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2007 |
STP
2 - 1
PAD
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 2007 |
PAD
1 - 1
AUG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 1
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2007 |
M05
1 - 1
AUG
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
WEH
1 - 3
M05
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 2007 |
M05
4 - 1
ERZ
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2007 |
HOF
1 - 0
M05
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |