Carioca B1 Fase de Grupos. Jor. 4

Análisis Paduano vs Serrano FC

Paduano Serrano FC
41 ELO 38
-12.8% Tilt -6.1%
23096º Ranking ELO general 5444º
622º Ranking ELO país 224º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.1%
Paduano
24.3%
Empate
28.6%
Serrano FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.1%
Probabilidad gana
Paduano
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Probabilidad gana
Serrano FC
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paduano
+5%
+25%
Serrano FC

Progresión del ELO

Paduano
Serrano FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paduano
Paduano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 oct. 2022
PAD
Paduano
0 - 0
Campo Grande
CGA
44%
23%
33%
41 38 3 0
01 oct. 2022
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 4
Paduano
PAD
42%
24%
33%
39 42 3 +2
28 sep. 2022
PAD
Paduano
2 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
58%
21%
21%
39 27 12 0
24 sep. 2022
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 1
Paduano
PAD
34%
24%
42%
40 37 3 -1
22 sep. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
1 - 1
Paduano
PAD
83%
11%
6%
39 60 21 +1

Partidos

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 oct. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
3 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
53%
23%
23%
38 25 13 0
01 oct. 2022
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
1 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
44%
25%
32%
38 38 0 0
28 sep. 2022
NCI
Nova Cidade
2 - 3
Serrano FC
SFC
27%
23%
50%
37 28 9 +1
24 sep. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
0 - 1
CEAC / Araruama
ADC
41%
24%
34%
38 32 6 -1
17 sep. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 0
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
40%
25%
36%
37 34 3 +1
X