Copa Libertadores Octavos
Global 3-1
Análisis Palmeiras vs Bolívar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 2
GRE
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1995 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1995 |
PAL
7 - 0
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
EME
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1995 |
JWI
1 - 1
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |