Recopa Sudamericana Final
Global 3-3
Análisis Palmeiras vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
10%
23%
67%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2021 |
DYJ
2 - 2
TAL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
DYJ
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2021 |
SLO
0 - 2
DYJ
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |