Serie A Betano Jor. 28

Análisis Palmeiras vs Flamengo

Palmeiras Flamengo
83 ELO 81
13.3% Tilt 14.9%
134º Ranking ELO general 130º
10º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
56.7%
Palmeiras
22.8%
Empate
20.5%
Flamengo

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Palmeiras
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Flamengo
1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Palmeiras
+14%
+26%
Flamengo

Progresión del ELO

Palmeiras
Flamengo
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 oct. 2006
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
38%
25%
38%
83 79 4 0
24 sep. 2006
PAL
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
32%
25%
44%
82 88 6 +1
22 sep. 2006
SAN
Santa Cruz
3 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
26%
25%
49%
83 68 15 -1
17 sep. 2006
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
49%
23%
28%
83 83 0 0
09 sep. 2006
PAL
Palmeiras
3 - 1
São Caetano
SAO
55%
23%
23%
83 81 2 0

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 oct. 2006
FLA
Flamengo
4 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
39%
25%
36%
81 81 0 0
24 sep. 2006
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
57%
24%
19%
81 85 4 0
22 sep. 2006
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
81 83 2 0
17 sep. 2006
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 4
Flamengo
FLA
43%
26%
31%
81 75 6 0
10 sep. 2006
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
52%
24%
24%
80 79 1 +1